02/03/2011
A threatening complications
The end of the Egyptian dictatorship frightens Israel
Monica G. Human Journalism
Prieto
For over 20 years, Israel did not have to worry about their southern neighbors. Following the Camp David Accords 1978, by which Tel Aviv peace with Cairo, Egypt became the best regional ally, a country that instead of threatening them, helped them deal with armed groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah with an impetus unthinkable in any another Arab country.
Intelligence or shared not only agreed to allow Israeli ships to patrol the Suez rum, sealed the Gaza Strip on the Egyptian side, following the instructions of the Jewish state and thus condemning the Gaza population to misery, to boycott any attempt reconstruction. Subterránero even installed a steel wall to try unsuccessfully to prevent the Palestinians is supplied through smuggling tunnels.
Hosni Mubarak and current vice president, the spy chief Omar Suleiman, became the best partner we could imagine. Hence the stage fright that seizes the Israelis today while attending the last hours of his only regional ally next to Jordan.
For Israel, Egypt is the largest strategic partner after the United States. Mubarak have been able to isolate Hamas, the Islamic movement in power in the Gaza Strip, boioteado by the international community and abandoned by the Arabs after winning the 2006 elections, and also to arrest the Hezbollah militants who tried to operate from territory Egyptian. It was the best ally in particular Israel's battle against Syria and Iran: The Riad Cairo dispute with regional Sunni leadership, and as such is at odds with the Shiites in power in those two countries. And for decades has been used to fund the liquidation of the Islamists who were trying to tourists, which killed the former president, Anwar al-Sadat, just for peace with Israel and who reject all things about the Jewish state.
Egypt had established himself as a vital bulwark in the midst of a hostile environment. Hence, Israel has much to lose in this Arab spring excites both half the world. "Suddenly, Israel is in the position dangerous he has held since 1948 [date of creation of their state], "explains Nicholas Noe Human Journalism, director of the Arabic translations Mideastwire service and author of Voice of Hezbollah. "You are surrounded by flourishing a series of non-state actors, and movements opposed to the political situation in Israel and even their very existence. The consequence of what happens in Egypt is that Israel is less secure and less stable. "
To minimize this risk, last weekend charts Tel Aviv moved quickly though so desperate. According to Haaretz, the Israeli Foreign Ministry on Saturday asked its ambassadors U.S., Canada, China, Russia and several European countries to put pressure on the authorities in their respective countries by highlighting the importance for Israel to maintain the autocratic regime of Mubarak but despite its 80 million inhabitants. The problem is that the Egyptian people do not act in coordination with the West: rather acts against and in spite of Western policies that have protected dictators like Mubarak, despite the gross violations of human rights in their systems incur just to maintain their interests.
"Not only Egypt. In Jordan, the Muslim Brotherhood and the Palestinians will win this case even if no changes significant. Syria remains stable, and Lebanon is forming a government akin to Hezbollah. Suddenly, Israel is surrounded by hostile agents. Much has changed since the Madrid Conference, when most of the Arabs was favorable to compromise with Israel: 20 years later, the logic has changed dramatically. "
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, claims to follow the developments in the land of the Pharaohs with "vigilance and concern." President Shimon Peres goes further, admitting that "I have always had and I have great respect for President Mubarak" and stating that "a religious fanatic oligarchy no better than the lack of democracy. " With his words implied that the Egyptian revolution ultimate goal is to establish an Iranian-style Islamic regime, a threat as heard these days, but the reality is that the Muslim Brotherhood, Sunni, have only joined the demonstrations in a private capacity, and who have delegated Mohamad ElBaradei, Nobel Peace Prize 2005, shortly suspected radical Islamist, any negotiation with the regime. Everything indicates that El Baradei is the man who will lead the Egyptian transition.
Muslim Brotherhood, of great importance in the Egyptian lower class, yesterday issued a statement to clarify their position. "This revolution has nothing in common with Iran. Egypt will never be like Iran. We respect all peace agreements signed with all countries of the world ", had said, referring to the peace agreements with Israel. Egypt along with Jordan are the only two Arab countries that have relations with Israel after Mauritania canceled its diplomatic agreements following the 2008 offensive against Gaza. "This revolution is of the Egyptians, of all ages and conditions, not the Muslim Brotherhood. Our members have joined as individual "remember from the Egyptian Islamist organization.
"revolutions Experience says you never know what will emerge from them, "says Alastair Crooke, director of the think tank Forum for the Lebanese Conflict Resolution, commissioned to bring points of view between the West and East. "The Egyptian did not have to be the Iranian revolution," he adds. "But certainly makes Israel feel isolated. It is an unprecedented change that will no longer feel safe because the environment of like-minded governments and pro-Western is changing. "
Crooke, conflict mediator in Northern Ireland, South Africa, Colombia or the Middle East (1997-2003) and author of Resistance: The essence of the Islamic revolution, considered the Israeli bombadeos Gaza, 2008 is a decisive factor in understanding the discomfort of the Egyptian street. Mubarak not only condemned the killing of Palestinians, but closed its border with the Gaza offensive throughout, letting dropper even the health and preventing the civilian population to escape the bombs. "The Egyptians never accepted this policy. Those images affected all except Egypt Mubarak. That's something we have to change whether it remains the Mubarak regime and if you change: the new government will have to deal with resolving the impact of Operation Solid Lead in the population. "
is a fact that the Egyptian people do not sympathize with Israel, with whom he has fought four wars since the creation of the Jewish state: in 1948, 1956, 1967 and 1973. There is only passing through the Egyptian Sinai tourist resorts, some of them Israeli tourists are not allowed. Then there is the most likely transitional leader, Mohamed ElBaradei, is viewed with great suspicion in Tel Aviv because, from his post as head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, charged with special earnestness international double standards led to harass Iran over its nuclear ambitions and at the same time, even called on Israel that its nuclear program was supervised by inspectors from his organization. Also was against the invasion of Iraq.
Egypt shares with Israel 250 km desert border, which Mubarak agents have been sealed to prevent African immigration affects its northern neighbor. In addition, the Army has spent years focusing its efforts on other fronts: the Palestinian militias, particularly in Gaza, the much more fearsome on the Lebanese Hezbollah, Syria and Iran, that their most serious enemy. But Israel's concerns are not only in security matters, but they are the most important. In addition, Israel imports 40% of its natural gas pipeline from Egypt through the East-Mediterranean Gas, a company Israeli-Egyptian. Both countries signed in 2005 a contract that keeps the partnership for 20 years. In addition, bilateral trade agreements totaled more than $ 500 million in 2010.
And that's not the worst: if the spread of the demonstrations in Jordan leads in free elections, Islamist parties in the opposition come to power probably willing to review relations with the Israeli partner. And the King Abdullah II is prepared to accommodate anything to ensure the survival of the institution.
No change in Egypt means that peace agreements are to be abolished, nor that the revolution will end the status quo in Jordan, while another is being exported, but the editorial of the newspaper Haaretz yesterday and asked the Israeli government to change its policy to avoid being completely isolated in a region that is hostile to him since its founding as a state.
The newspaper made indicated that Israel must "prepare for a new regional order" and criticized Netanyahu for preferring "tyrants who remain long years in power" as "the lesser evil." Instead of sheltering in the known, in the hackneyed 'no one to talk to or who to trust', you must adapt to a reality that citizens of Arab states, not just the tyrants influence the path of their countries. " Even the commentator Sever Plock criticized in the pages of Yediot Ahronot right, that "Israel is overwhelmed by the fear of democracy, not here but in neighboring countries," although we have never prayed for the Arabs to become liberal democracies ".
Source: http://periodismohumano.com/en-conflicto/el-final-de-la-dictadura-atemoriza-a-israel.html
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